Odds to win the Super Bowl

[PoorMansCamaro]

Originally Posted by SScattergunSS

I'm still ALL ABOUT THE DOLPHINS!!!!

I know, it's sad huh?

[SScattergunSS]

Originally Posted by PoorMansCamaro

I know, it's sad huh?

I really didn't expect them to do a whole bunch this year, but...! Let's just see how they do in the draft and in the F/A market.

[PoorMansCamaro]

Originally Posted by SScattergunSS

I really didn't expect them to do a whole bunch this year, but...! Let's just see how they do in the draft and in the F/A market.

they need to go offense, then offense, then offense a little more. and top it off with some offense. lol

need an offensive coordinater first

[SScattergunSS]

Originally Posted by PoorMansCamaro

they need to go offense, then offense, then offense a little more. and top it off with some offense. lol

need an offensive coordinater first

You know one thing I didn't look at yet, was how they finished. Do you know off hand what position they are picking in the draft?

[2ndgenz28]

In 10,000 simulations, AccuScore generated the percent chance each team would win the Super Bowl after the wild-card round.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slu...yoffodds011011

Below is a review of AccuScore’s forecast as compared to the current betting lines. There is a somewhat surprising lack of difference between the two. The odds (+Yes / -No) have been translated into an Odds percentage which is the chance that the Vegas Oddsmakers give each team to win. The total Odds percentage is 111% because Vegas sports books charge a vig to make a profit off betting. If you remove the vig, then you get the Odds percentage (No Vig). When comparing AccuScore to the Odds percentage (No Vig) you see the Difference (Diff).

The Jets and Ravens had impressive wild-card road wins, but with road games against the Patriots and Steelers respectively, it is still a long shot for them, even though they may be two of the best teams in the league.

The Seahawks beat the Saints, but they are still given less than a 1 percent chance of shocking the world with a Super Bowl win. The Bears are benefiting by getting the Seahawks at home which is why their chances of winning the Super Bowl are higher than the odds would indicate. The Bears may have the most value compared to the odds, but they too are still a long shot.

The Falcons definitely got the short end of the stick having to face Green Bay (No. 6 seed) rather than Seattle (No. 4).

[lafountain]

Originally Posted by SScattergunSS

You know one thing I didn't look at yet, was how they finished. Do you know off hand what position they are picking in the draft?

With the first round of the playoffs over, this is how the order shapes up currently.

ROUND ONE
1. Carolina (2-14)
2. Denver (4-12)
3. Buffalo (4-12)
4. Cincinnati (4-12)
5. Arizona (5-11)
6. Cleveland (5-11)
7. San Francisco (6-10)
8. Tennessee (6-10)
9. Dallas (6-10)
10. Washington (6-10)
11. Houston (6-10)
12. Minnesota (6-10)
13. Detroit (6-10)
14. St. Louis (7-9)
15. Miami (7-9)
16. Jacksonville (8-8)
17. New England (from Oakland 8-8)
18. San Diego (9-7)
19. New York Giants (10-6)
20. Tampa Bay (10-6)
21. Kansas City (10-6)
22. Indianapolis (10-6)
23. Philadelphia (10-6)
24. New Orleans (11-5)

[PoorMansCamaro]

Originally Posted by SScattergunSS

You know one thing I didn't look at yet, was how they finished. Do you know off hand what position they are picking in the draft?

Yup, 15th

[2ndgenz28]

Originally Posted by lafountain

With the first round of the playoffs over, this is how the order shapes up currently.

ROUND ONE
1. Carolina (2-14)
2. Denver (4-12)
3. Buffalo (4-12)
4. Cincinnati (4-12)
5. Arizona (5-11)
6. Cleveland (5-11)
7. San Francisco (6-10)
8. Tennessee (6-10)
9. Dallas (6-10)
10. Washington (6-10)
11. Houston (6-10)
12. Minnesota (6-10)
13. Detroit (6-10)
14. St. Louis (7-9)
15. Miami (7-9)
16. Jacksonville (8-8)
17. New England (from Oakland 8-8)
18. San Diego (9-7)
19. New York Giants (10-6)
20. Tampa Bay (10-6)
21. Kansas City (10-6)
22. Indianapolis (10-6)
23. Philadelphia (10-6)
24. New Orleans (11-5)

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slu...fl_draft_order

Here is a look at the 2011 draft selection order after completion of the wild-card round, with draft comments on each team. An asterisk (*) indicates the team's draft position may change depending on playoff results.)

1. Carolina Panthers: Suffered biggest loss of year when Andrew Luck returned to Stanford.

2. Denver Broncos: Might have to consider Patrick Peterson with Champ a free agent.

3. Buffalo Bills: Need to repair run defense, first and foremost.

4. Cincinnati Bengals: Can only hope this year's rookie class performs like 2010's.

5. Arizona Cardinals: Is the quarterback of their dreams worth taking with fifth pick?

6. Cleveland Browns: Sure could use a big wide receiver.

7. San Francisco 49ers: Jim Harbaugh is a quarterback short of a very good offense.

8. Tennessee Titans: One of many teams suddenly looking for future at QB spot.

9. Dallas Cowboys: Three of team's top four DEs played on one-year deals in 2010.

10. Washington Redskins: Itching to get the next John Elway, but is that QB available?

11. Houston Texans: Will be interesting to see if team goes 3-4 route on defense in draft.

12. Minnesota Vikings: Other than QB, safety appears to be biggest immediate concern.

13. Detroit Lions: Could draft linebacker, corner or safety early.

14. St. Louis Rams: Offense must go more vertical, and a choice wideout would help.

15. Miami Dolphins: No sure thing that they go for a running back in first round.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: If they are looking for immediate help, could take safety early.

17. Oakland Raiders: Can't find Asomugha's replacement until second round.

18. San Diego Chargers: Pick from Jets in Cromartie trade is now a second- rounder.

19. New York Giants: When was the last big play made by one of their linebackers? 2009?

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Need to find playmaker at linebacker.

21. Kansas City Chiefs: Nose tackle a good place to start on defense.

22. Indianapolis Colts: Offensive line still needs work. Just ask Bill Polian.

23. Philadelphia Eagles: Starting right cornerback job will be open.

24. New Orleans Saints: Another aggressive young linebacker would do wonders.

25. Seattle Seahawks*: Marshawn Lynch(notes) ran like he heard RB draft rumors.

26. Green Bay Packers*: Would like to find OLT Chad Clifton's(notes) eventual replacement.

27. Chicago Bears*: Would be little shock if they look for a left tackle in Round One.

28. New York Jets*: Few young pass rushers on the roster.

29. Baltimore Ravens*: Cornerback remains a position they'd like to upgrade.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers*: At some point they'll have to find Hines Ward's replacement.

31. Atlanta Falcons*: Have been stockpiling pieces on defense; no reason to stop now.

32. New England Patriots*: Will have Raiders' first-rounder, too, to beef up defense.



The draft order is determined by the following procedures:

(a) The winner of the Super Bowl will select last, and the other Super Bowl participant next-to-last, regardless of their regular-season record.

(b) The conference championship game participants not advancing to the Super Bowl will select 29th and 30th, according to the reverse order of their standing.

(c) The divisional-playoff participants not advancing to the championship games will select 25th through 28th, according to the reverse order of their standing.

(d) The wild-card participants not advancing to the divisional playoffs will select 21st through 24th, according to the reverse order of their standing.

(e) Non-playoff clubs will select first through 20th, according to the reverse order of their standing.

If ties exist in any grouping except (a) above, they will be broken by strength of schedule (i.e., figuring the aggregate won-lost-tied percentage of each involved club's regular-season opponents and awarding preferential selection order to the club which faced the schedule of teams with the lowest aggregate won-lost-tied percentage).

If ties still exist after applying the strength-of-schedule tiebreaker, the divisional or conference tiebreakers are applied, if applicable. If the divisional or conference tiebreakers are not applicable, ties will be broken by a coin flip.

[3 SS's]

lets not forget the Pats also have pick # 33, from Carolina ....3 in the first 33

[CJ Man]

Originally Posted by 3 SS's

lets not forget the Pats also have pick # 33, from Carolina ....3 in the first 33

Patss sure have a lot of pics in 2011! What happens when there is no CBA next year? No team can sign any rookies! So what happens to the draft class?

If there is no football in 2011 (which I don't think would happen), do all the players who get drafted just re-enter the 2012 draft? Or do the team get there rights still? Tried researching it but haven't seen anything.

I know when crabtree didn't sign right away they said he cam re-enter the draft if he is not signed by the end of the year! So is it the same this year?

[PoorMansCamaro]

I'm no expert, and this is all my speculation, but if no CBA is agreed, I would think that teams would still draft rookies, they would just not play the first year, or however long it takes to come to an agreement. Just like the veteran players. If there was no draft, then they would have two draft classes in the same draft.

[CJ Man]

No the draft is happening, but no team can sign a rookie player if there is no CBA! If there is a lock out and no football next year, then no rookies can be signed. So if the 2011-2012 season is over, what happens to all those un-signed rookies and their rights? Are they eligible for the next draft? Or do the team still get rights to the players?

I think this is part of the reason Andrew luck stayed in college! Yeah he would have been the first pick, but he would not get paid until a new CBA was signed. He would miss a year of football and because he entered the draft he would not be eligible to return to college!

[SScattergunSS]

Originally Posted by lafountain

With the first round of the playoffs over, this is how the order shapes up currently.

ROUND ONE
1. Carolina (2-14)
2. Denver (4-12)
3. Buffalo (4-12)
4. Cincinnati (4-12)
5. Arizona (5-11)
6. Cleveland (5-11)
7. San Francisco (6-10)
8. Tennessee (6-10)
9. Dallas (6-10)
10. Washington (6-10)
11. Houston (6-10)
12. Minnesota (6-10)
13. Detroit (6-10)
14. St. Louis (7-9)
15. Miami (7-9)
16. Jacksonville (8-8)
17. New England (from Oakland 8-8)
18. San Diego (9-7)
19. New York Giants (10-6)
20. Tampa Bay (10-6)
21. Kansas City (10-6)
22. Indianapolis (10-6)
23. Philadelphia (10-6)
24. New Orleans (11-5)

Hey buddy, thanks for posting this up!

[SScattergunSS]

Originally Posted by PoorMansCamaro

Yup, 15th

Yeah, I'll telly you right now, 15th is awkward. Unless a player is there that we really want, I would hope that we would then do our best to shop that pick to some other team if possible. This will be an interesting offseason.