Quote:
Originally Posted by 3 SS's
Situational football  walk me through it coach  Lol, you obviously weren't a math major....98% in both cases ?? here, once again....Lynch was 1 for 5 in 2014 on first and goal from the 1, get your calculator back out and try again, If you get 98% again throw your calculator away, or....I can walk you through the process. Let me know how you make out.  |
Simple 5th grade math, did you attend 5th grade? Percentages.
You have to be able to add, subtract, multiply, and divide.
Instead of doing this, you base what might happen on 4 plays from the season in the Seattle case, when in fact Lynch averaged 4.7 yards per carry during the 2014 season. In this SB, Lynch was not stopped for a negative yard gain THE ENTIRE GAME.
Seattle had enough time on the clock to run two plays, not just one, on second and goal from the one. Lynch gained 5 yards from the 6 on 1st and goal.
So how many times did Lynch fail to net 1 yard on two consecutive running plays in 2014?
Once of 68 times. This is 1.47%. He fumbled once in 280 attempts, this is .357%. So Mr. "I cant do 5th grade math", this comes to 1.827% of the time Lynch runs the ball on two consecutive plays, he wont gain 1 yard. 98.173% success ratio.
Russell Wilson had a 63.1% completion ratio in 2014, which means there is a 36.9% chance this play would not succeed, and he had a 1.5% interception ratio, four times more likely than a Lynch fumble.
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out what the best option with the highest percentage of success is here. Just someone with the mathematical capacity of a 5th grader.
I have already broken down the ATL percentages in a different thread, which you already read, and didn't understand. No need to do that again.