[Tran]

Only two major obstacles remain to avoid a bankruptcy filing before GM's government-imposed June 1 deadline. The first is getting CAW to follow the UAW's lead and sign a new agreement, and the second is to get the majority of GM bondholders to accept a debt-for-equity swap that would erase $27 billion of the automaker's debt but leave creditors with only a 10% stake in the company. The UAW would have its proposed 38% stake, common GM shareholders would hold a 1% stake and the U.S. government would have a majority stake of 51%. Its creditors, however, do not appear willing to accept GM's debt-for-equity offer as it stands, so unless a miracle happens in the next two weeks, a Chrysler-like Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing still appears the most likely result.

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