Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr_Draco
Wow so much biased, complete misinformation and  in this post it's unbelievable.
Ok first of all get the facts straight. Blue-ray players NEVER started out at $2,000, nor were they $1,000, hell they didn't even start out at $500. When they were first released they ranged in price between $350 and $400 depending on the brand. Currently the good, name brand players range in price between $250-$300 (I should know, I just bought 2 this week for Christmas presents). Yes you can find some Korean or Chinese made ones for $200 but if you bother to read the reviews they don't last more then 6 months. Since generally speaking it takes 5 years for new technology to reduce in price by half, these prices are normal.
Ok now for solid state prices. Using the same 5 year rule, in 5 years a memory stick with the same capacity as a current blue-ray disk will still cost $100 each not including the cost of the game developers which will probably add another $50 due to the length of development time, pay rates of game developers, the cost of production, shipping, and advertisement. That's $150 for a GAME. The system itself will have to be double what the PS3 was when it was first released. If you thought $600 was a lot, can you imagine spending over $1,200? Let's not forget that the PS3 will still be out and producing the same game for $60 and that IF the next Xbox goes solid state it will not nor can not be backwards compatible. During this same 5 year time span, larger capacity Blue-ray disks will have come out with two to four times the capacity that these same solid state memory sticks have and still be a fraction of the cost. The next Xbox will be out before this 5 year time frame so those costs will actually be higher. So I will say again it is not, nor will not be economical for a gaming system to go solid state for at least 10 years. |
Sorry I was thinking DVD players when they first came out they were up to$2000 many years ago , now they are 49.00 or less for a name brand like Panasonic or Samsung etc .Blue ray will follow the same path as all technology does when it becomes obsolete , solid state will take over and thats a fact it's just a matter of when not if
ps. I think your 5 year theory is flawed , solid state memory sticks will evolve much faster than you think , and will dominate the market