Quote:
Originally Posted by snizzle
This is a train that will not stop even if the pace slows because consumers push back.
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IMHO, only if the following conditions are met:
- Keep the Chinese out (for American OEMs to survive)
- EVs get drastically cheaper
- Charging and power generation/transmission infrastructure improves
- Battery tech markedly improves, range and charge times.
- Feds keep making ICE production harder and harder, more expensive, less reliable through regulation
- The climate impact hyperbole stays at fever pitch and people still believe their tailpipe emissions have EVERYTHING to do with it.
- Consumer sentiment changes favorably to EVs.
- Feds keep throwing in subsidy money
- Gasoline stays over $2.50/gal
Any one or more of those sticks comes out, and the Jenga tower falls. The path to "inevitability" seems more perilous to me, I guess. We can agree to disagree. I get that EVs are relatively simple to manufacture, but their sales depend heavily on policy right now, which can change quickly. EVs will retain a share of the market, but I feel the timeframe for total dominance you guys are describing would be beyond my lifetime, if ever.