[Martinjlm]

Originally Posted by LimaCharlie

EV's will slowly kill the car market over time.
One of my biggest arguments against EV is the uncertainty of electrical infrastructure in the future. For example, what about all the people in the U.S. who live in apartments/condos? They can't simply plug their EV into an outlet in their garage, driveway, etc. and have it fully charged in the morning. I'm not sure how many people live in apartments but I'm guessing it's near 20% of the U.S. population. Does that mean all apartment parking spots will have an outlet in the future? What about all the high-rise apartments/condos in San Francisco, New York, Chicago, etc.? Is there going to be a charging outlet every 30 feet on the sidewalks in the future? Who's going to pay for all this to make it happen?
How long will it take to charge EV's in the future? With an ICE car, only 5 minutes of fueling up will give you an instant 350+ miles of driving. When will the EV battery technology be able to claim that in the future?

The apartment issue is the reason I counsel my clients that BEV will not get to 100% saturation in our lifetime. Still, it will most likely be over 50% by 2040. Hybrids and Plug-in Hybrids will split the difference. As for beyond 2040, development will continue on several technologies to bridge the gap.

• Several cities are working on setting up charge points in street lamps. Pretty smart, actually. Street lamps have power to them already. https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2021/08/...d-ev-chargers/
• Wireless charging is also a thing. It’s a great application for multi-level garages. https://www.businesswire.com/news/ho...ctric-Vehicles
• Hydrogen Fuel Cells. Favorite technology of Toyota, Honda, and Hyundai. Great option for their home markets. Japan is an island country and doesn’t need thousands of hydrogen refueling stations to cover the total market. South Korea is a peninsula that likewise doesn’t need thousands of stations. And they have great incentive to not go too far north. https://hydrogen-central.com/japan-1...ogen-stations/

Eventually, Fuel Cells will gain some traction in the US, but for right now the inability to place refueling stations strategically across the country will hold it back. Stations are expensive and there’s not enough vehicles to use them to keep them in business. Commercial vehicles will be the first real play for FCEV. Yes, I know about Clarity and Mirai, and Hyundai Nexo. Those are all severely limited compliance credit vehicles. They are only available in certain specific areas and cannot travel far beyond their home locations because they don’t have fueling options.