Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob3D
But just like the ice there will be vast improvements. We went from the model T to the Ferrari to the 40mpg cars. Computers, tablets and phones replaced the land line, Trapper keepers and the abacus.
It’s not like they’re going to come take your ice car away plus the next generation will gravitate towards the ecars because of the technology, simplicity (no oil changes and practically zero maintenance) as well as the inevitable affordability.
Everything “electric” in our lives are being improved on everyday. Who’s to say the ecar will be any different? It’s naive to think that ecars are not here to stay.
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I'm glad you brought up the zero maintenance thing.. because that's another big factor in considering the longevity of EVs. Right now the fact that engines will inherently have issues or die altogether means there's a market that has no choice but to shop for a new car. Maintenance costs, daily performance and overall liveability also contribute to people buying new cars... what happens when the only thing you need to replace is the battery.. and it lasts 300-500k miles (Tesla claim)
There will be less incentive to buy a new EV. Features and Range are the only two driving factors and I don't see what else they could add to cars to make them more convenient currently. Range could be a while before we see drastic improvements. The big 3 probably won't be sold on EV until they have a clear path to selling them on a revolving basis instead of once per buyer every 30 years (400k miles / 13.5 annual average) . I'm ignoring TESLA in this scenario as they are more similar to an iPhone at this time than a car