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Old 01-23-2019, 09:19 PM   #17
Iron Lung Jimmy

 
Drives: Iron Lung, Jimmy
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 1,577
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegas Bound View Post
One call or no call does not change the outcome of a 60 minute game.


Butterfly effect.
Sunday's non-call had an extremely high probability of changing the outcome.

If it had happened in the first two minutes, no. But the later in the game something happens the less variables there are left to be affected by the bad call and therefore the more the bad call directly affects the outcome. Taken to the extreme, an incorrect call on a game winning field goal attempt with no time remaining 100% changes the outcome.

Happening when it did, the change probability of Sunday's non-call basically boils down to the odds of the Saints kicker making a chip shot field goal.
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